Social Media In Wartime + Betting on the Future + A.I. Passes the Smell Test 01:06:35

As the Israel-Hamas war broke out, misinformation and fake imagery surged on X, the platform formerly known at Twitter. Can Meta’s Threads fill the real-time news hole that X created? Should it?

Then, Kevin debriefs us on his reporting on Manifold Markets, where Silicon Valley Rationalists bet on the likelihoods of different events.

Plus: The company digitizing smell.

Today’s Guest:

• Alex Wiltschko is the founder of Osmo, a company trying to digitize smell.

Additional Reading:

• Casey Newton on how the war in Israel may change Threads.
• Some tech insiders believe betting can change the world.
• The company Osmo put out a research paper showing that an A.I. model it had created was performing better than the “average human panelist” in predicting odor. We want to hear from you.